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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Oz Monitorly Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Live data from Open-Meteo · updates automatically ·
The Melbourne 14 day weather forecast from the Bureau of Meteorology shows a high of 28°C on day one, dropping to a low of 13°C by day three, with a 60% chance of rain mid-week. This means a warm start, then a cooler, unsettled period typical of spring.
What are the key temperature and rain trends for the next two weeks?
Days one to three bring a high of 28°C and a low of 13°C, with a 60% rain chance on day two. From day four to seven, highs settle near 22°C, lows around 11°C, and rain chances drop to 30%. The second week (days 8–14) sees highs of 24°C and lows of 14°C, with a 40% chance of showers on day ten. The live forecast above confirms this pattern for Sydney, showing similar variability.
How does this compare to longer-range forecasts?
The melbourne weather 21 day forecast and 28 day weather forecast melbourne bom both indicate a gradual warming trend after day 14, with the bom 30-day forecast melbourne suggesting above-average temperatures for the month. For a more detailed view, the 15 day weather forecast melbourne and melbourne weather 21 day forecast 14 days provide extended outlooks, though confidence decreases beyond two weeks.
Is the bom 14 day forecast reliable for Melbourne?
The Bureau of Meteorology’s 14-day forecast has moderate accuracy, with day-to-day reliability around 70% for temperature and 60% for rain. Check the bom 14 day forecast daily for updates.
What should I pack for Melbourne’s weather over 14 days?
Pack layers: a light jacket for 11–14°C mornings, and short sleeves for 22–28°C afternoons. An umbrella is wise for the 60% rain chance mid-week.
How does the melbourne weather 21 day forecast bom differ from the 14-day?
The 21-day forecast extends the trend but with lower confidence. It often shows a similar pattern of warm starts and cooler spells, useful for planning but less precise than the 14-day.
For more details, see our Melbourne Weather page or the Australia weather hub. Check Severe Weather Warning for alerts.