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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Oz Monitorly Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
Melborune’s current conditions, as shown in the live forecast above, sit within a range typical for this time of year. Expect a daytime maximum between 22°C and 26°C, with partly cloudy skies and a light south-westerly breeze — a mild, settled autumn day.
What is driving Melborune’s weather pattern today?
A high-pressure system over the Great Australian Bight is directing a stable south-westerly flow across central Victoria. This keeps humidity low (around 45–55%) and reduces the chance of rain to under 10%. Winds will ease by late afternoon, with overnight lows dropping to 11–14°C under clear skies.
How does this compare to the seasonal average?
Melborune’s autumn average maximum for this month is 23.5°C. Today’s forecast sits squarely within that range, with no extreme heat or cold expected. The UV index will reach moderate levels (5–6) between 11am and 2pm, so sun protection is advised during peak hours.
Is Melborune likely to see any rain this week?
The high-pressure system will keep conditions dry for the next 48 hours. A weak trough may approach by Thursday, bringing a 20–30% chance of light showers, but totals are expected to remain below 2 mm.
Why does Melborune feel cooler than the forecast suggests?
The south-westerly wind creates a wind-chill effect of 2–3°C below the actual air temperature. If you are in an exposed area, the perceived temperature may be closer to 19–21°C despite the thermometer reading higher.
When is the best time to be outdoors in Melborune today?
Mid-to-late afternoon (2pm–5pm) will offer the warmest conditions with lighter winds. Morning temperatures will be cool (12–15°C), so a light jacket is recommended before 10am.
Sources
For broader conditions across the country, visit our Australia weather hub. For the latest on any developing systems, check the severe weather warning page. Detailed forecasts for other capitals are available on our Melbourne Weather page.