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Live forecasts update automatically; written guidance last reviewed 23 June 2026 by the Oz Monitorly Weather Desk. Data from the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) and other national met services via Open-Meteo.
The Ashes Sydney Test forecast shows a high of 28–32°C with possible late showers on Days 1–2, then a cooler 24–27°C from Day 3 with a high chance of rain (60–70%) on Day 4. This is typical January weather for the SCG, though the afternoon storms could interrupt key sessions.
What are the day-by-day conditions?
Day 1 (Wednesday): Mostly sunny, top near 30°C, light north-easterly winds. Day 2 (Thursday): Similar, 29–32°C, with a 30% chance of an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. Day 3 (Friday): Cloud increases, 24–27°C, 40% chance of rain. Day 4 (Saturday): Overcast, 24°C, 60–70% chance of showers. Day 5 (Sunday): Partly cloudy, 26°C, 30% chance of rain.
Could rain decide the result?
Yes. The live forecast above indicates Day 4 as the wettest, which could wash out a full day’s play. The SCG drainage is excellent, but persistent rain may force an early finish if the series is alive. Check the Sydney Weather page for updates.
Will the heat affect the pitch?
Sydney pitches typically offer turn from Day 3, but highs near 32°C on Day 1 may accelerate cracking, favouring spinners earlier than usual. The curator waters the strip to keep it together.
Should I bring an umbrella to the SCG?
Yes, especially from Day 3 onward. Afternoon storms are common in Sydney summer, and the live forecast above shows a 60–70% chance of rain on Day 4. Pack a poncho too.
How does this compare to past Sydney Tests?
Average January max at the SCG is 27°C. This forecast is slightly warmer early then cooler mid-match, with a typical storm risk—similar to the 2022 Ashes Test which lost a full day to rain.